Policy and industry analysts warn that if the costs of these new technologies are not commensurate with that of coal, China’s clean tech push may fizzle and fail to attract the private sector investment it needs for long term success.

“The government must gradually lift fossil fuel prices while granting incentives to non-fossil fuels to establish a long-term price signal,” said Wang Yi, deputy head of Policy and Management at the China Academy of Science.  Without changes in tariff structures, there would be little incentive for private firms to invest, analysts warn.

State-run firms would be the only ones able to operate at a loss as “they are the ones who can afford to lose money,” said Lin Boqiang, head of Center of Research on Energy Economics at Xiamen University.  “The private sector can’t afford waiting around for 5 to 10 years operating at a loss.”

China’s low-carbon energy potential is enormous.  The government is aiming for a 45% cut in carbon intensity from 2005 levels by 2020 and a 15% increase in share of renewable vs. primary energy consumption.  Certain estimates say that China is ready to build at a minimum 20 nuclear power plants over the next 5 years, each with a capacity of 2GW.

Coal, however, is the elephant in the room.  Providing 80% of all electricity for its growing economy, China is the world’s #1 coal user.  It constructs, on average, one new coal-fired power plant every week.  Switching away from such a plentiful albeit highly polluting resource will be difficult for the economic giant.

On top of that, China has been making improvements to its coal plants to make the burning process cleaner.  These generators are called supercritical plants, and they produce approximately 15% less CO2 that conventional plants at about $500-$600 per kW less than in developed OECD nations.

China has overtaken the U.S. as the world’s top emitting country, and it faces tremendous pressure from the international community to wean itself off its coal addiction and get serious about reducing its emissions levels.

Foreign firms such as nuclear Areva of France, wind power equipment producers Gamesa of Spain, U.S.-based First Solar and India-based Suzlon are just a few that will be waiting to see how China’s investment plans develop and how it meets this coal-pricing challenge.

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The government proposed abolishing tax breaks for energy-intensive companies, but came under fire from industry groups.  If introduced, this coal tax would target €410 million in 2011 and €710 in 2012, partially making up for revenue lost by keeping the tax breaks.

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Data from The Cleantech Group and Deloitte shows that solar energy garnered about 40% of all investments, attracting about $811 million in funding.

“There’s been a very clear resurgence in solar activity and that is largely responsible for the strong quarter,” notes Richard Youngman, head of global research for the Cleantech Group.

Scott Smith, Deloitte’s U.S. clean tech leader believes this VC investment trend will have a positive impact on renewables and low carbon industries.    “The significant strengthening of corporate and utility investment into the clean tech sector, relative to 2009, is very encouraging, given the key role they will play in enabling broader adaptation of clean technologies at scale,” he said in a statement.

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The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) reports growth in gasoline stocks and distillates inventories, disproving forecasts which predicted a fall.  On the other hand, crude stocks dropped by 2.01 million barrels; twice the expected rate.

The onset of Hurricane Alex actually helped to stem the price fall by forcing a stop in 26.3% of oil production and 14.4% of natural gas production in the Gulf of Mexico region.

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Long accustomed to cheap and easy access to energy, American consumers have been notoriously resistant to changing their ways to use less energy.  However, according to a recent study by GE, 79% of U.S. consumers would be willing to make short term changes in order to achieve long-term energy benefits.

A full 88% of those polled would start to use devices like smart meters to help them use energy more efficiently, and of this group, 82% say that smart meters and related devices will be “vital technologies” for the future.

Perhaps the most striking result is the 72% of respondents who agree that America’s energy use and consumption habits, if left unaltered, could stifle future economic growth.  This result, GE says, proves that “consumers are ready to think differently about how they use energy.”

“There are some things that are essential to achieving a desired quality of life,” says Bob Gilligan, VP of Digital Energy for GE Energy Services, “and Americans overwhelmingly agree that investing in our nation’s energy future is one of them.”

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In the largest survey ever conducted on corporate sustainability, the UN Global Compact and Accenture asked 766 CEOs around the world their thoughts on these important issues.  The results were significant:

- 93% believe sustainaibility will be “critical” to the future success of their company

- 80% say the economic downturn has raised the importance of sustainability in saving money and cutting waste

- 81% say sustainability issues were part of company strategy and operations, compared with 50% three years ago

“Achieving greater environmental and social sustainability takes time, effort and a sincere leadership commitment,” said Georg Kell, executive director of the UN Global Compact.  Moving forward, he said, will mean convincing investors that sustainability is actually good for the bottom line.

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Of the $500 billion pledged, 40% of funds comes from China, which means many developed countries are falling short in their commitment to a green economy, Steiner says.  In 2008, the UNEP called for a global investment of $750 billion, equivalent to 1% of global GDP to be funneled into a “Global Green New Deal.”

“The green economy is not a luxury, but a 21st century imperative on a planet of six billion, rising to 9 billion in just 40 years,” said Steiner and Pavan Sukhdev, leader of UNEP’s Green Economy Initiative in a statement released in advance of this weekend’s G20 Summit in Toronto.

G20 delegates re-affirmed their pledge to phase out the “inefficient” subsidies to the fossil fuel industry,  which by some estimates amount to $300-$500 billion/year.  The International Energy Agency estimates that elimination of these subsidies could help reduce greenhouse gas emissions by around 7% over the next ten years.

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OECD chief  Angel Gurría calls these subsidies, which by some estimates may be as much as $557 billion a year in developing nations and over $100 billion in the industrialized world, a “wasteful use of scarce budget resources.”  There is a contradiction, he says, because”many governments are giving subsidies to fossil fuel production and consumption that encourage greenhouse gas emissions, at the same time they are spending on projects to promote clean energy.”

According to some estimates, eliminating fossil fuel subsidies may help to reduce total global greenhouse emissions by 10% from their expected 2050 levels.  This would greatly assist  G20 nations with other policy initiatives to mitigate the effects of global warming.

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Energy efficiency investments emerged as a major theme from the survey results.   More than 82% of respondents expected to make energy efficiency investments over the next year, and 92% of those polled said energy costs would be high on the list of priorities over that time period.

Melanie Steiner of Ernst & Young said these results show that despite uncertainty over climate change, “companies are really taking action anyway, because they’re seeing that this is a business issue and an opportunity to generate new revenue.”

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“With energy demand projected to almost double in the Asia and Pacific region by 2030, there is an urgent need for innovative ways to generate power whole at the same time reducing greenhouse gas emissions,” said Rajat Nag, managing director at ADB.  Central Asia is a region of particular interest, thanks in part to the vast amounts of desert land available for massive solar construction.

In 2009, ADB supplied nearly $1.3 billion in funding for clean energy projects, exceeding its $1 billion target.  Beginning in 2013, the Bank is aiming to increase its investment to $2 billion/year.

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