Thanks to the implementation of an industry-friendly feed-in-tariff in 2007, the Italian solar PV market has taken off at a furious pace.
Data from the Interstate Renewable Energy Council (IREC) shows that Italy installed more photovoltaic systems than the entire United States in 2009. What’s more, by the end of the year, Italy will have installed over 2,500 MW of solar PV power, more than one and one-half times the U.S. total.
Italy is now the world’s second largest solar PV market after Germany. Unlike Spain, Italy is not planning to remove its feed-in-tariff anytime soon. It has set a new target of 3,000MW for the next time period of 2011-2013, but will trim the tariffs 18% by Q3 of 2011. Italy reached its 2010 target of 1,200MW earlier this year. Most of these new installations are on rooftops or in distributed applications, and according to the Gestore dei Servizi Energetici, almost 1/4 are relatively small (20kW or less).
Oil and gas major Total and Spain-based solar company Abengoa Solar have been appointed to construct the largest concentrating solar power (CSP) plant in the world in Masdar, the carbon-zero city and renewable energy initiative of Abu Dhabi. Abu Dhabi aims to achieve 7% renewable energy generation by 2020.
Called “Shams 1,” this planned CSP plant will extend over an area of 2.5 square km and have a generation capacity of approximately 100MW. Once completed, it will be the first of its kind in the Middle East region, and the first CSP plant to be registered with the United Nation’s Clean Development Mechanism (CDM). This registration will make Shams 1 eligible for carbon credits.
“This project, which will be the first utility-scale, commercial solar power project in the UAE, represents the translation into reality of the vision the Abu Dhabi leadership had for renewable energy in the Emirate,” said Dr. Sultan Al-Jaber, CEO of Masdar. Looking ahead, Abengoa Solar’s director of international development Michael Geyer believes this project is only the beginning. “The Middle East,” he said, “is a region that offers both an unlimited solar resource and infinite site locations for implementation of solar plants in its deserts.”
The United Kingdom’s offshore renewable energy capacity could one day generate as much electricity every year as would one billion barrels of oil, according to a recent report from the Offshore Valuation Group.
The Group projects that utilizing just one third of the available wind and tidal resources off the UK coast could eventually transform the nation from a net importer to a net exporter of electricity by 2050. At the same time, deploying these resources would result in a savings of 1.1 billion tons of carbon dioxide emissions and create infrastructure with a positive net present value of £35 billion.
“We have long been saying that the North Sea will become the Saudi Arabia of wind energy,” says Peter Madigan, head of offshore renewables at industry advocacy body RenewableUK.
Opalesque Exclusive: Highlight on energy (5) – Earth Wind and Fire Fund aims for uncorrelated portfolios in volatile sectors
From Kirsten Bischoff, Opalesque New York:
The philosophy behind investing in energy and resources is a simple one for Anric Blatt and Lauralouise Duffy, founders of Global Fund Exchange, the growing number of people around the globe is putting stress on the resources of our planet; smart investing in energy, clean energy and natural resources can drive positive environmental change and positive profits.
There are many factors placing stress on our resources, two of the biggest are population increases and development as the global economy reaches undeveloped nations.
- With the population growing by approximately 79 million every year, energy consumption in the developing world will overtake the amount consumed by the developed world in 2015. That’s a mere five years from now.
- As nations and economies develop over the next 25 years, global energy demand is estimated to increase by almost 60%.
Industry in transition
“We are in a bridge period,” Blatt says, regarding global efforts to change energy consumption habits. With traditional energy usage pegged at 96% and alternative energy hovering at only 4% (not to mention the slow pace of environmental regulation in many countries), change is going to be gradual.
“So we’ve come to this bridge period where traditional energy starts to become cleaner or more energy efficient, and where alternative energy becomes more cost efficient,” he says. “For those with a vision, these are really exciting times. This global energy transition offers the most significant investment opportunities my generation has ever seen. We’ve pioneered the concept of ‘Investing in the Bridge’ to take advantage of these profitable themes.”
Where is the money flow?
Deciding that the energy and natural resources space would provide opportunity to both invest in a positive future for the world and a profit, Blatt next determined on a strategy. Venture capitalism is high risk, and the firms with access to cash flows are not the small, emerging firms, but listed, public companies with access to stimulus money and targeted government-driven investments in the environment. Private equity difficulties include liquidity mismatches.
Tracking capital expenditures around the world is something the team does very carefully. Denmark, for example, has focused on wind technology, Germany and Spain on solar, Italy on solar and geo thermal, and South Korea has spent immense amounts of money on smart grid technology. China has recently surpassed the U.S. in allocations to smart grid technology.
“At the end of the day, all that funding goes into public markets,” he says. “So we made a conscious choice to find the best niche managers around the globe and run with them what is an energy hybrid portfolio.”
Targeting opportunity
New York-based Global Fund Exchange manages The Earth Wind & Fire Fund Ltd. with a mandate to utilize a diversified global macro, multi manager investment approach to investing in the world’s premiere specialists in all areas of the new energy revolution.
The fund focuses on clean energy, traditional energy, water, natural resources, carbon and agriculture, and then adds a hedging strategy to all of these to reduce both volatility and market-related risk. The focus of the fund crosses so many areas of energy because as Blatt points out, everything is interconnected.
“In order to produce energy you need water and in order to produce water you need energy. To convert commodities into a usable, commercial format you need energy. To convert energy into a usable format you need natural resources. Everything is interconnected and all of these things have climate implications.”
Building an uncorrelated portfolio in a volatile sector
Investing in any single area of the “Energy” space has two distinct risks: market exposures, especially during the financial crisis, have created additional volatility; and the risk of investing in a single sector where everything is correlated. To manage these risks one of the main focuses for the team is in calculating, tracking, and building a non-correlated portfolio.
Perhaps the best way to break down the portfolio is in terms of the three major working parts that it is comprised of. Investments have been identified as sensitive to equity markets (clean energy, water, and agriculture investments) and sensitive to commodity markets (energy, carbon, and natural resources). A third group of strategies, those that work to take the volatility out of the prior two groups are the trending and alpha strategies (systematic trading, a hedge portfolio, and a cash portfolio).
This focus on non-correlation within the sub-portfolio has seen the overall portfolio make solid gains during the three years since its January 2007 inception (annualized gains are +14.22%, with only three down months).
Private money is taking stakes in the future of the planet
While government spending in many countries has started to focus on alternative energy, there is additionally a shadow network of private money that has started to heavily invest in the space. Both environmental philanthropists and large businesses are positioning themselves with large stakes in this still-burgeoning industry.
“It has been a wonderful experience to focus not only on the profit aspect of business, but also on the impact of our actions on the planet and its people. Hence our philosophy – People, Planet, Profit.
Part Six: next Friday.
Part one (Tiburon: Wind and solar won’t save the world, hence the renaissance of nuclear) can be found here,
Part Two (ARP: Now we can all hedge power exposure intelligently) here,
New York – GFX Alternatives LLC, a member of the Global Fund Exchange Group, today (Jan 13th, 2009) announced the formation of a new multi-manager portfolio to invest in the dynamic alternative energy investment sector.
GFX Alternatives is dedicated to a diversified, global macro, multi-manager approach to allocating assets to premier investment managers who specialize in a broad spectrum of alternative energy opportunities. The firm is led by a management team of veteran hedge fund executives, Lauralouise Duffy and Anric Blatt, and will accept outside investors at the end of the first quarter 2009.
“Throughout the world there is an energy revolution occurring that is driving public and private investments into the alternative energy arena,” said Lauralouise Duffy, CEO, GFX Group LLC. “Investments in alternative energy solutions are aimed at achieving energy independence while reducing environmental damages. Governments, quasi-governmental organizations, states, countries, corporations and consumers around the world are implementing critical changes to transform their use and selection of energy resources.”
The world of energy and the investment world are on the brink of an evolutionary chapter in history. GFX Alternatives seeks to focus its private investment capabilities on the nascent and necessary development of energy alternatives and the evolutionary opportunities that accompany the changing face of global energy.
“Increased spending in alternative energies and renewable resources will cause significant economic growth and prosperity for the companies embracing this change, yet very few asset management companies exist to explore, develop and profit from this phenomenon,” said GFX Chairman Anric Blatt. “The GFX team has unique and extensive experience investing in and hedging allocations to the energy and resources sector. The firm is uniquely positioned to take advantage of extraordinary opportunities in this burgeoning corner of the investment world.”
GFX Alternatives aims to cap assets in this strategy at $1 Billion and will permit its clients to take direct investments into clean tech, carbon/emissions trading, water supply and treatment, as well as energy specific traders and Commodity Trading Advisers (CTAs).
GFX Alternatives LLC will present its investment strategies and business opportunities inside the USA Pavilion of the World Future Energy Summit in Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates, from January 19th- 21st, 2009. The summit will be the largest meeting of influential leaders within the renewable energy industry and is expected to draw over 15,000 attendees. More information on the summit can be found at http://www.worldfutureenergysummit.com.
About GFX Alternatives LLC
GFX Alternatives LLC, a member of the Global Fund Exchange Group, is an alternative investment management business that is focused on the alternative energy and renewable resources sectors. GFX Alternatives specializes in manager due diligence and selection, macro overlay of hedging, asset allocation, portfolio management and independent risk monitoring across all asset classes and managers in its portfolio. The founders have a combined 30 years of experience in starting, building and operating investment management businesses. The firm’s mission statement is “People, Planet, and Profit.”
About the Management Team
Lauralouise Duffy has worked as CEO of the GFX Group since 2006. As CEO, Ms. Duffy built an alternative investment platform service business, offering consulting, independent fund support, and structuring services to a wide range of hedge funds, fund of funds and institutional clients. In September 2007, she acquired the GFX Group. In 2008, the firm launched GFX Alternatives, a company dedicated to the alternative energy and renewable resources sector. Ms. Duffy spent 15 years on Wall Street working in the capacity of CEO, COO and managing director in the hedge fund community. Ms. Duffy was founder and president of Golden Retriever Capital, a global strategic development firm, consulting to major financial institutions in the alternative investment arena. Previously, Ms. Duffy spent her career running the operations, administration and distribution of eleven hedge funds, building and running investment fund businesses for Europe, Eastern Europe, Russia, Asia and South America, including equity, global macro, emerging markets, venture and private equity businesses. She was partner and COO of FNY Capital, LLC and Argonaut Capital Management and also worked for EGS Capital Management and Croesus Capital Management.
Anric Blatt, chairman, has been with the GFX Group since its founding in 2005. His principal areas of focus include strategy allocation, portfolio management, manager research and due diligence, as well as new product development and structuring. Mr. Blatt has performed extensive research and due diligence on hedge fund managers for over twelve years, and has been instrumental in the development and management of a number of successful investment vehicles both private and public. Prior to joining GFX, Mr. Blatt was the founder, CEO and chairman of the Infiniti Capital Group where he was involved in all aspects of building the business including product development, branding, portfolio management and research. During his tenure as CIO and CEO of the firm, he and his team successfully created and managed twelve public investment funds, a capital markets and securitization business and a hedge fund research organization. He was responsible for a portfolio of investments in excess of $2 billion AUM. Previously Mr. Blatt was the regional director in Asia for the qualitative fund of funds group Forsyth Partners and built the Asian business for managed futures specialist Kenmar.
Thanks to the implementation of an industry-friendly feed-in-tariff in 2007, the Italian solar PV market has taken off at a furious pace.
The United Kingdom’s offshore renewable energy capacity could one day generate as much electricity every year as would one billion barrels of oil, according to a recent report from the Offshore Valuation Group.
